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After US strike, Iran faces a desperation threshold
Iran has no good options, which means bad options may actually play out
7 hrs ago
•
Peter Wildeford
31
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After US strike, Iran faces a desperation threshold
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4
Numbers, Not Hype: Talking AI Policy on the CAIP Podcast
Seven risks, massive opportunities, and why 2025 is make‑or‑break
Jun 16
•
Peter Wildeford
12
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Numbers, Not Hype: Talking AI Policy on the CAIP Podcast
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2
The Fordow Paradox: Where do Iran and Israel go from here?
How one stubborn mountain shows nuclear non-proliferation is on life support
Jun 14
•
Peter Wildeford
297
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The Fordow Paradox: Where do Iran and Israel go from here?
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99
May 2025
Weekend Links #15: AI in the Vatican, AI in the Senate
plus Pope superforecasting and parrot talk
May 11
•
Peter Wildeford
12
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Weekend Links #15: AI in the Vatican, AI in the Senate
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2
India-Pakistan on the Brink: Forecasts for what happens next
How a 76-year fight over water rights and national pride risks nuclear conflict
May 7
•
Peter Wildeford
23
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India-Pakistan on the Brink: Forecasts for what happens next
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3
Tuesday Links #14: OpenAI non-profit control, Meta/Google antitrust
Also staring into the abyss, robots with guns, and Peter goes to Washington
May 6
•
Peter Wildeford
13
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Tuesday Links #14: OpenAI non-profit control, Meta/Google antitrust
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April 2025
Tuesday Links #13: ChatGPT flattery, crypto kidnappings
Also AI export controls, horses, and organ music
Apr 29
•
Peter Wildeford
14
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Tuesday Links #13: ChatGPT flattery, crypto kidnappings
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3
Forecaster reacts: METR's bombshell paper about AI acceleration
New data supports an exponential AI curve, but lots of uncertainty remains
Apr 21
•
Peter Wildeford
46
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Forecaster reacts: METR's bombshell paper about AI acceleration
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16
Weekend Links #12: o3 is smart but tells lies
Also which AI to use for what, career opportunities, and a drone show
Apr 20
•
Peter Wildeford
18
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Weekend Links #12: o3 is smart but tells lies
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3
Weekend Links #11: Different tariffs, Agent Village, the H20
Also GPT4.1, GPT4.5, a great fellowship, time, and space
Apr 13
•
Peter Wildeford
9
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Weekend Links #11: Different tariffs, Agent Village, the H20
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Weekend Links #10: Tariffs, Gemini, and a herd of Llamas
Also the latest GPT5 rumors, AI geopolitics, and sentient yogurt
Apr 6
•
Peter Wildeford
7
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Weekend Links #10: Tariffs, Gemini, and a herd of Llamas
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7
Mutual sabotage of AI probably won’t work
AI deterrence isn’t like nuclear deterrence
Apr 2
•
Peter Wildeford
and
Oscar Delaney
25
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Mutual sabotage of AI probably won’t work
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